Compact System

  • Subscribe to our RSS feed.
  • Twitter
  • StumbleUpon
  • Reddit
  • Facebook
  • Digg
Showing posts with label trends. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trends. Show all posts

Tuesday, 3 January 2012

Google Correlate expands to 49 additional countries

Posted on 09:58 by Unknown
Posted by Matt Mohebbi, Software Engineer

In May of this year we launched Google Correlate on Google Labs. This system enables a correlation search between a user-provided time series and millions of time series of Google search traffic. Since our initial launch, we've graduated to Google Trends and we've seen a number of great applications of Correlate in several domains, including economics (consumer spending, unemployment rate and housing inventory), sociology and meteorology. The correspondence of gas prices and search activity for fuel efficient cars was even briefly discussed in a Fox News presidential debate and NPR recently covered correlations related to political commentators.

Health has always been an area of particular interest to our team (Matt Mohebbi, Julia Kodysh, Rob Schonberger and Dan Vanderkam). Correlate was inspired by Google Flu Trends and many of us worked on both systems. So we were very excited when the BioSense division at the CDC published a page which shows correlations between some of their national trends in patient diagnosis activity and Google search activity. With just three years of weekly data, relevant search terms are surfaced. For example, the time series for bloody nose surfaces "bloody snot" and "blood in snot".


While these terms shouldn't come as a surprise, there are others which are more interesting, including searches related to static electricity, dry skin, and red cheeks. Of course, correlation is not causation but we hope that Correlate can be used as a method for researchers to generate new hypotheses with their data.

To help researchers outside the United States, we're pleased to announce support for 49 additional countries in Google Correlate. It's now possible to see correlations like "snorkeling" in Australia, "cherry blossoms" in Japan , and "beer garden" in Germany. We look forward to seeing what new correlations researchers can find with this data!
Read More
Posted in correlate, economics, internationalization, trends | No comments

Thursday, 24 March 2011

Reading tea leaves in the tourism industry: A Case Study in the Gulf Oil Spill

Posted on 11:00 by Unknown
Posted by Hyunyoung Choi and Paul Liu, Senior Economists

A few years ago, our in-house economists, Hal Varian and Hyunyoung Choi, demonstrated how to “predict the present” with monthly visitor arrivals to Hong Kong. We took this idea further to see if search queries could predict the future. If users start to research their travel plans some weeks or months in advance, then intuitively shouldn’t we be able to extend "predicting the present" into "predicting the future?" We decided to test it out by focusing on a region whose tourism was recently severely impacted: Florida’s gulf coast.

With the travel industry still in the midst of recovering from a deep recession, the Gulf Oil spill had the potential to do significant economic damage. Our case study on the Gulf Oil spill helped find useful insight into people’s future travel plans to Florida; in fact, we found that travel search queries actually were good predictors for trips to Florida, and destinations within Florida, about 4 weeks later.

The results we saw surprised us. Google Insights for Search suggested that at least with respect to hotel bookings (using data from Smith Travel Research, Inc.), the aggregate effect of the oil spill was modest on Florida travel, since travelers tended to shift their destinations from the affected regions on the west coast to the east coast or central regions of Florida. In particular, hotel bookings for affected areas along the Gulf coast were 4.25% less than predicted, and unaffected areas along the Atlantic coast were 4.89% greater than predicted.

You can read the full case study here or try your own hand at predicting the future!
Read More
Posted in economics, trends | No comments
Older Posts Home
Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)

Popular Posts

  • Our Faculty Institute brings faculty back to the drawing board
    Posted by Nina Kim Schultz, Google Education Research Cross-posted with the Official Google Blog School may still be out for summer, but tea...
  • Academic Successes in Cluster Computing
    Posted by Alfred Spector, VP of Research Access to massive computing resources is foundational to Research and Development. Fifteen awardees...
  • Towards Energy-Proportional Datacenters
    Posted by Dennis Abts, Michael R. Marty, Philip M. Wells, Peter Klausler, and Hong Liu This is part of the series highlighting some notable...
  • International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2009) in Montreal
    Posted by Eyal Even Dar and Vahab Mirrokni , Google Research, NY The 26th International Conference on Machine Learning ( ICML 2009 ) was re...
  • A new landmark in computer vision
    Posted by Jay Yagnik, Head of Computer Vision Research [Cross-posted with the Official Google Blog ] Science fiction books and movies have l...
  • Market Algorithms and Optimization Meeting
    Posted by  Vahab S. Mirrokni and Muthu Muthukrishnan Google auctions ads, and enables a market with millions of advertisers and users.  This...
  • Education Awards on Google App Engine
    Posted by Andrea Held, Google University Relations Cross-posted with Google Developers Blog Last year we invited proposals for innovative p...
  • Speed Matters
    Posted by Jake Brutlag, Web Search Infrastructure At Google, we've gathered hard data to reinforce our intuition that "speed matter...
  • Google launches Korean Voice Search
    Posted by Mike Schuster & Martin Jansche, Google Research On June 16th, we launched our Korean voice search system . Google Search by Vo...
  • Two Views from the 2009 Google Faculty Summit
    Posted by Alfred Spector, Vice President of Research and Special Initiatives [cross-posted with the Official Google Blog ] We held our fifth...

Categories

  • accessibility
  • ACL
  • ACM
  • Acoustic Modeling
  • ads
  • adsense
  • adwords
  • Africa
  • Android
  • API
  • App Engine
  • App Inventor
  • Audio
  • Awards
  • Cantonese
  • China
  • Computer Science
  • conference
  • conferences
  • correlate
  • crowd-sourcing
  • CVPR
  • datasets
  • Deep Learning
  • distributed systems
  • Earth Engine
  • economics
  • Education
  • Electronic Commerce and Algorithms
  • EMEA
  • EMNLP
  • entities
  • Exacycle
  • Faculty Institute
  • Faculty Summit
  • Fusion Tables
  • gamification
  • Google Books
  • Google+
  • Government
  • grants
  • HCI
  • Image Annotation
  • Information Retrieval
  • internationalization
  • Interspeech
  • jsm
  • jsm2011
  • K-12
  • Korean
  • Labs
  • localization
  • Machine Hearing
  • Machine Learning
  • Machine Translation
  • MapReduce
  • market algorithms
  • Market Research
  • ML
  • MOOC
  • NAACL
  • Natural Language Processing
  • Networks
  • Ngram
  • NIPS
  • NLP
  • open source
  • operating systems
  • osdi
  • osdi10
  • patents
  • ph.d. fellowship
  • PiLab
  • Policy
  • Public Data Explorer
  • publication
  • Publications
  • renewable energy
  • Research Awards
  • resource optimization
  • Search
  • search ads
  • Security and Privacy
  • SIGMOD
  • Site Reliability Engineering
  • Speech
  • statistics
  • Structured Data
  • Systems
  • Translate
  • trends
  • TV
  • UI
  • University Relations
  • UNIX
  • User Experience
  • video
  • Vision Research
  • Visiting Faculty
  • Visualization
  • Voice Search
  • Wiki
  • wikipedia
  • WWW
  • YouTube

Blog Archive

  • ▼  2013 (51)
    • ▼  December (3)
      • Groundbreaking simulations by Google Exacycle Visi...
      • Googler Moti Yung elected as 2013 ACM Fellow
      • Free Language Lessons for Computers
    • ►  November (9)
    • ►  October (2)
    • ►  September (5)
    • ►  August (2)
    • ►  July (6)
    • ►  June (7)
    • ►  May (5)
    • ►  April (3)
    • ►  March (4)
    • ►  February (4)
    • ►  January (1)
  • ►  2012 (59)
    • ►  December (4)
    • ►  October (4)
    • ►  September (3)
    • ►  August (9)
    • ►  July (9)
    • ►  June (7)
    • ►  May (7)
    • ►  April (2)
    • ►  March (7)
    • ►  February (3)
    • ►  January (4)
  • ►  2011 (51)
    • ►  December (5)
    • ►  November (2)
    • ►  September (3)
    • ►  August (4)
    • ►  July (9)
    • ►  June (6)
    • ►  May (4)
    • ►  April (4)
    • ►  March (5)
    • ►  February (5)
    • ►  January (4)
  • ►  2010 (44)
    • ►  December (7)
    • ►  November (2)
    • ►  October (9)
    • ►  September (7)
    • ►  August (2)
    • ►  July (7)
    • ►  June (3)
    • ►  May (2)
    • ►  April (1)
    • ►  March (1)
    • ►  February (1)
    • ►  January (2)
  • ►  2009 (44)
    • ►  December (8)
    • ►  November (4)
    • ►  August (4)
    • ►  July (5)
    • ►  June (5)
    • ►  May (4)
    • ►  April (6)
    • ►  March (3)
    • ►  February (1)
    • ►  January (4)
  • ►  2008 (11)
    • ►  December (1)
    • ►  November (1)
    • ►  October (1)
    • ►  September (1)
    • ►  July (1)
    • ►  May (3)
    • ►  April (1)
    • ►  March (1)
    • ►  February (1)
  • ►  2007 (9)
    • ►  October (1)
    • ►  September (2)
    • ►  August (1)
    • ►  July (1)
    • ►  June (2)
    • ►  February (2)
  • ►  2006 (15)
    • ►  December (1)
    • ►  November (1)
    • ►  September (1)
    • ►  August (1)
    • ►  July (1)
    • ►  June (2)
    • ►  April (3)
    • ►  March (4)
    • ►  February (1)
Powered by Blogger.

About Me

Unknown
View my complete profile